Middlesbrough vs Derby: result 1-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 35Kick-off on March 1, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Full time
What was the result of Middlesbrough vs Derby?
Middlesbrough won 1-0 on March 1, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 80′F. AzazMiddlesbrough
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Middlesbrough have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Derby have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | Stoke City(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Bristol City(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Watford(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Feb 3, 2025 | Sunderland(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | Millwall(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Feb 14, 2025 | QPR(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Oxford United(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Norwich(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Middlesbrough win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2024 | Derby 1-0 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Middlesbrough 4-1 Derby | Championship |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Derby 0-0 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Feb 13, 2021 | Derby 2-1 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Nov 25, 2020 | Middlesbrough 3-0 Derby | Championship |
| Jan 11, 2020 | Middlesbrough 2-2 Derby | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Derby vs Middlesbrough on Aug 17, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Middlesbrough score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 0.8 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Derby | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Middlesbrough sit 11th in Championship (3 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Middlesbrough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy