Migjorn vs Constància: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Constància the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Migjorn. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Migjorn vs Constància?
Constància is a heavy favourite: 1,900 Elo points against 1,545, a 355-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Migjorn vs Constància
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Migjorn
4-3-3- KKevin Grajales
- AAlberto Garrido
- FFabri
- NNnabama
- IIker Coll
- HHector Riudavets
- KKoke
- RRaúl Villalonga
- JJonathan Seguí
- MMarc Rovellada
- LLlori
Constància
Not enough data to predict the Constància lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Migjorn have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Constància have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cardassar(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Platges Calvià(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Binissalem(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Manacor(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Porreres(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Mercadal(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Alcúdia(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cardassar(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Santanyí(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Migjorn wins, 0 draws, 2 Constància wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | Constància 2-0 Migjorn | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Migjorn 0-1 Constància | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Constància vs Migjorn on Jan 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Migjorn score 0.8 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Constància score 2.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Migjorn | 0.8 | 2.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Constància | 2.1 | 0.6 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Migjorn sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (3 points from 6 matches) and Constància sit 4th (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Constància | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| 15 | Migjorn | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
A question about Migjorn vs Constància?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Migjorn vs Constància?
- The Footlab AI model makes Constància the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Migjorn.
- Where and when is Migjorn vs Constància played?
- Migjorn vs Constància is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.