Andratx vs Arenal: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Camp Municipal Sa Plana, Andratx
The Footlab model makes Andratx the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Arenal. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Andratx vs Arenal?
Andratx starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,815 vs 1,654).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Andratx have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Arenal have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Atlètic Lleida(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(away) | 1-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Valencia II(home) | 5-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2024 | Llosetense(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 5, 2024 | Alcúdia(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 1, 2024 | Sóller(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Santanyí(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Manacor(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
How many goals should we expect?
Andratx score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Arenal score 0.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andratx | 1.1 | 1.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Arenal | 0.8 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Andratx vs Arenal?
- The Footlab model makes Andratx the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Arenal.
- Where and when is Andratx vs Arenal played?
- Andratx vs Arenal is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Camp Municipal Sa Plana, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.