Migjorn vs Platges Calvià: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Platges Calvià the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Migjorn. The most likely score is 1-1. If Platges Calvià wins, the most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,153 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Migjorn vs Platges Calvià?
Platges Calvià starts as the favourite with a 284-point Elo edge (1,819 vs 1,535).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Migjorn vs Platges Calvià
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Migjorn
Not enough data to predict the Migjorn lineup.
Platges Calvià
Not enough data to predict the Platges Calvià lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 11:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Migjorn have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Platges Calvià have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Inter Ibiza(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Formentera(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Andratx(away) | 4-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sineu(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cardassar(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Arenal(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Inter Ibiza(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Formentera(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Andratx(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sineu(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Migjorn wins, 0 draws, 3 Platges Calvià wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Platges Calvià 3-1 Migjorn | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Migjorn 1-3 Platges Calvià | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Platges Calvià 4-0 Migjorn | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Platges Calvià vs Migjorn on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Migjorn score 0.9 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Platges Calvià score 2.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Migjorn | 0.9 | 2.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Platges Calvià | 2.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Migjorn sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (5 points from 10 matches) and Platges Calvià sit 1st (24 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Platges Calvià | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 8 | 24 |
| 16 | Migjorn | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 5 |
A question about Migjorn vs Platges Calvià?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Migjorn vs Platges Calvià?
- The Footlab AI model makes Platges Calvià the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Migjorn.
- Where and when is Migjorn vs Platges Calvià played?
- Migjorn vs Platges Calvià is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.