Constància vs Mercadal: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Nou Camp de Inca, Inca
The Footlab AI model makes Constància the favourite at 74%, against 18% for a draw and 8% for Mercadal. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Constància vs Mercadal?
Constància starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,900 vs 1,712).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Constància vs Mercadal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Constància
Not enough data to predict the Constància lineup.
Mercadal
Not enough data to predict the Mercadal lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Constància have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Mercadal have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Porreres(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Mercadal(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Alcúdia(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cardassar(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Santanyí(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alcúdia(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Constància(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Santanyí(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arenal(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Inter Ibiza(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Constància wins, 0 draws, 1 Mercadal win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Mercadal 1-3 Constància | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Mercadal 1-4 Constància | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Constància 0-2 Mercadal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Mercadal 0-1 Constància | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Constància 2-1 Mercadal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Constància 1-0 Mercadal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Mercadal vs Constància on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Constància score 2.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Mercadal score 0.9 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Constància | 2.1 | 0.6 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Mercadal | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Constància sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (13 points from 6 matches) and Mercadal sit 13th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Constància | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| 13 | Mercadal | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
A question about Constància vs Mercadal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Constància vs Mercadal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Constància the favourite at 74%, against 18% for a draw and 8% for Mercadal.
- Where and when is Constància vs Mercadal played?
- Constància vs Mercadal is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Nou Camp de Inca, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.