Match

Mijas Las Lagunas vs Xerez: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 · Matchday 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Las Lagunas, Las Lagunas de Mijas

Mijas Las LagunasXerez

The Footlab AI model makes Mijas Las Lagunas the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Xerez. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mijas Las Lagunas wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,995 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mijas Las Lagunas vs Xerez?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Mijas Las Lagunas (1,858) and Xerez (1,895).

44%29%27%
Mijas Las Lagunas winDrawXerez win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Mijas Las Lagunas vs Xerez

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Mijas Las Lagunas

Not enough data to predict the Mijas Las Lagunas lineup.

Xerez

4-3-3
  1. 23O. Lorenzo
  2. 10Zequi
  3. 9R. Mesa
  1. 8Ismael Gutiérrez
  2. 16R. Lopez
  3. 14J. Lopez
  1. 6Fali
  2. 19Moisés Rodríguez
  3. 3F. Chacartegui
  4. 21Victor Lopez
  1. 13M. Garcia

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:57 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mijas Las Lagunas have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Xerez have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mijas Las Lagunas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 10, 2026Real Jaén(home)1-2Copa del Rey
Nov 7, 2026Recreativo Huelva(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Nov 1, 2026Marbella(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 24, 2026Real Betis II(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 18, 2026Tenerife II(away)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Xerez
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Sanluqueño(away)4-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Nov 1, 2026Tamaraceite(away)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 29, 2026Cadiz(home)1-3Copa del Rey
Oct 25, 2026Marbella(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 18, 2026Ciudad de Lucena(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Mijas Las Lagunas score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Xerez score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mijas Las Lagunas1.91.3410/158/15
Xerez1.00.776/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mijas Las Lagunas sit 7th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (15 points from 10 matches) and Xerez sit 6th (15 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Xerez1043312715
7Mijas Las Lagunas10361181415

A question about Mijas Las Lagunas vs Xerez?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mijas Las Lagunas vs Xerez?
The Footlab AI model makes Mijas Las Lagunas the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Xerez.
Where and when is Mijas Las Lagunas vs Xerez played?
Mijas Las Lagunas vs Xerez is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Las Lagunas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Mijas Las Lagunas and Xerez