Where and when is Xerez vs Recreativo Huelva played?

Xerez vs Recreativo Huelva is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Xerez vs Recreativo Huelva: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Chapín, Jerez de la Frontera

Xerez

Recreativo Huelva

The Footlab model makes Xerez the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Recreativo Huelva. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Xerez vs Recreativo Huelva?

A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Xerez (1,930) and Recreativo Huelva (1,840).

Xerez win52 %

Draw28 %

Recreativo Huelva win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Xerez have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Recreativo Huelva have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Xerez
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Portuense(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026	Conquense(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 9, 2026	Conquense(home)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Ucam Murcia(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Xerez Deportivo(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Recreativo Huelva
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 28, 2026	Dos Hermanas(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026	Real Betis(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Chiclana(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
May 3, 2026	Xerez Deportivo(home)	3-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
May 3, 2026	Conil(away)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Xerez win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Recreativo Huelva win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 8, 2026	Xerez 1-0 Recreativo Huelva	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 19, 2025	Recreativo Huelva 1-2 Xerez	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Aug 6, 2022	Xerez 1-0 Recreativo Huelva	Friendlies Clubs
Feb 6, 2022	Xerez 0-2 Recreativo Huelva	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
Nov 17, 2021	Recreativo Huelva 3-1 Xerez	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10

Last archived meeting: Xerez vs Recreativo Huelva on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Xerez score 0.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Recreativo Huelva score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Xerez	0.7	0.5	8	4/15	2/15
Recreativo Huelva	1.2	1.4	3	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Xerez sit 4th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (59 points from 34 matches) and Recreativo Huelva sit 6th (57 points from 34 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Xerez	34	17	8	9	32	24	59
6	Recreativo Huelva	34	16	9	9	41	25	57

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Xerez vs Recreativo Huelva?: The Footlab model makes Xerez the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Recreativo Huelva.
Where and when is Xerez vs Recreativo Huelva played?: Xerez vs Recreativo Huelva is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.