Milan II vs Caldiero Terme: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Milan II the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Caldiero Terme. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Milan II vs Caldiero Terme?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Milan II (1,764) and Caldiero Terme (1,708).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Milan II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Caldiero Terme have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Chievo(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 3, 2026 | Vogherese(home) | 10-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Brusaporto(away) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Vogherese(away) | 6-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Villa Valle(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sondrio(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Brusaporto(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Milan II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Caldiero Terme win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Caldiero Terme 0-3 Milan II | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Milan II 0-2 Caldiero Terme | Serie D - Girone B |
| Dec 18, 2024 | Milan II 0-2 Caldiero Terme | Coppa Italia Serie C |
Last archived meeting: Caldiero Terme vs Milan II on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Milan II score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Caldiero Terme score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milan II | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Caldiero Terme | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Milan II sit 4th in Serie D - Girone B (56 points from 34 matches) and Caldiero Terme sit 11th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Milan II | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62 | 37 | 56 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50 | 40 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Milan II vs Caldiero Terme?
- The Footlab model makes Milan II the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Caldiero Terme.
- Where and when is Milan II vs Caldiero Terme played?
- Milan II vs Caldiero Terme is played on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Sep 6, 2026FiorenzuolavsScanzorosciate
- Sep 6, 2026Real CalepinavsPro Palazzolo
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