Match

Tritium vs Piacenza: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale La Rocca, Trezzo sull'Adda

TritiumPiacenza

The Footlab model makes Piacenza the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Tritium. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tritium vs Piacenza?

Piacenza is a heavy favourite: 1,856 Elo points against 1,546 — a 311-point gap.

Tritium win19 %
Draw25 %
Piacenza win56 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tritium have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Piacenza have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tritium
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 5, 2024Pro Palazzolo(home)2-4Serie D - Girone B
Apr 28, 2024Club Milano(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 21, 2024Desenzano Calvina(home)0-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 14, 2024Caravaggio(away)2-3Serie D - Girone B
Apr 7, 2024Arconatese(home)0-1Serie D - Girone B
Piacenza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Lentigione(away)2-0Serie D - Girone D
May 10, 2026Pistoiese(away)3-1Serie D - Girone D
May 3, 2026Crema(home)3-1Serie D - Girone D
Apr 26, 2026Coriano(away)0-1Serie D - Girone D
Apr 19, 2026Pro Sesto(home)3-1Serie D - Girone D

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Tritium win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Piacenza win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 31, 2024Tritium 3-1 PiacenzaSerie D - Girone B
Oct 4, 2023Piacenza 2-0 TritiumSerie D - Girone B

Last archived meeting: Tritium vs Piacenza on Jan 31, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Tritium score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Piacenza score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tritium0.71.625/154/15
Piacenza1.91.048/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tritium vs Piacenza?
The Footlab model makes Piacenza the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Tritium.
Where and when is Tritium vs Piacenza played?
Tritium vs Piacenza is played on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale La Rocca, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Tritium and Piacenza

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