Millwall vs Brighton: result 4-4 and analysis
FA CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on March 17, 2019 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Den, London
Full time
What was the result of Millwall vs Brighton?
Millwall and Brighton drew 4-4 on March 17, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 70′A. PearceMillwall
- 79′A. O'BrienMillwall
- 88′J. LocadiaBrighton
- 90′S. MarchBrighton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Millwall have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Brighton have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2019 | Birmingham(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Mar 9, 2019 | Bolton(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Mar 2, 2019 | Norwich(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Feb 26, 2019 | Hull City(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Feb 23, 2019 | Preston(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2019 | Crystal Palace(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Mar 2, 2019 | Huddersfield(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Feb 26, 2019 | Leicester(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Feb 16, 2019 | Derby(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Feb 9, 2019 | Burnley(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Millwall win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Brighton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2015 | Millwall 0-0 Brighton | Championship |
| Dec 12, 2014 | Brighton 0-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Mar 1, 2014 | Millwall 0-1 Brighton | Championship |
| Aug 31, 2013 | Brighton 1-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Dec 18, 2012 | Brighton 2-2 Millwall | Championship |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Millwall 1-2 Brighton | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Millwall score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Brighton score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Brighton | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy