Watford vs Millwall: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Vicarage Road, Watford
The Footlab AI model makes Millwall the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Watford. The most likely score is 1-1. If Millwall wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Watford vs Millwall?
Millwall starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,962 vs 1,777).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Watford vs Millwall
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Watford
4-2-3-1- 9L. Kjerrumgaard
- 5H. Kyprianou
- 39E. Kayembe
- 17Iker Bravo
- 7O. Maamma
- 20M. Doumbia
- 6M. Pollock
- 23O. Traoré
- 4K. Keben
- 33J. Zemura
- 1F. Ravaglia
Millwall
4-2-3-1- 13L. Dykes
- 14Jenson Metcalfe
- 10C. Neghli
- 49D. Mazou-Sacko
- 22K. Lisbie
- 17M. Sykes
- 5J. Cooper
- 6C. Taylor
- 3Zak Norton Sturge
- 2J. Osei-Tutu
- 34F. Marschall
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Watford have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Millwall have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 1-5 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Burnley(home) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Stoke City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Preston(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Preston(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Middlesbrough(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Blackburn(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Watford win, 1 draw, 4 Millwall wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Watford 0-2 Millwall | Championship |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Millwall 1-0 Watford | Championship |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Watford 1-2 Millwall | Championship |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Millwall 2-3 Watford | Championship |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Millwall 1-0 Watford | Championship |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Watford 2-2 Millwall | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Watford score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Millwall score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 1.0 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Millwall | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Watford sit 22nd in Championship (8 points from 10 matches) and Millwall sit 10th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
| 22 | Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 8 |
A question about Watford vs Millwall?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Watford vs Millwall?
- The Footlab AI model makes Millwall the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Watford.
- Where and when is Watford vs Millwall played?
- Watford vs Millwall is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Vicarage Road, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.