Millwall vs Colchester: result 4-1 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2015 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Den, London
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What was the result of Millwall vs Colchester?
Millwall won 4-1 on November 21, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 13′L. GregoryMillwall
- 38′S. FergusonMillwall
- 55′C. PorterColchester
- 62′S. FergusonMillwall
- 81′B. WebsterMillwall
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Millwall have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Colchester have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2015 | Plymouth(away) | 5-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 7, 2015 | AFC Fylde(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2015 | Bradford(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Oct 27, 2015 | Doncaster(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2015 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2015 | Coventry(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Nov 7, 2015 | Wealdstone(away) | 6-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2015 | Doncaster(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2015 | Walsall(home) | 4-4 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2015 | Port Vale(home) | 2-1 | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Millwall score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Colchester score 2.1 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 2.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Colchester | 2.1 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy