Millwall vs Luton: result 3-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 1, 2020 at 12:45 PM (UTC)The Den, London
Full time
What was the result of Millwall vs Luton?
Millwall won 3-1 on January 1, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 41′S. BradleyLuton
- 69′T. BradshawMillwall
- 78′C. MahoneyMillwall
- 81′M. SmithMillwall
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Millwall have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Luton have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2019 | Brentford(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2019 | Cardiff(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 21, 2019 | Barnsley(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Derby(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Dec 10, 2019 | Bristol City(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2019 | Bristol City(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2019 | Fulham(home) | 3-3 | Championship |
| Dec 21, 2019 | Swansea(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Preston(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Dec 10, 2019 | Stoke City(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Millwall win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Luton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2019 | Luton 1-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Nov 8, 2016 | Luton 1-3 Millwall | EFL Trophy |
| Feb 16, 2013 | Luton 0-3 Millwall | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Millwall score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Luton score 1.1 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Luton | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy