Milton Keynes Dons vs Derby: result 1-3 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 26, 2015 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Stadium mk, Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire
Full time
What was the result of Milton Keynes Dons vs Derby?
Derby won 1-3 on September 26, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 53′B. JohnsonDerby
- 60′J. MurphyMilton Keynes Dons
- 89′D. BentDerby
- 90′T. InceDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Milton Keynes Dons have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Derby have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2015 | Southampton(home) | 0-6 | League Cup |
| Sep 19, 2015 | Leeds(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2015 | Burnley(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2015 | Middlesbrough(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 29, 2015 | Birmingham(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2015 | Burnley(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2015 | Reading(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2015 | Preston(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 29, 2015 | Leeds(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 21, 2015 | Birmingham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Milton Keynes Dons score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes Dons | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Derby | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy