Minaur Baia Mare vs Unirea Tășnad: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 8Group 8 - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Viorel Mateianu, Baia Mare
The Footlab model makes Minaur Baia Mare the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Unirea Tășnad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Minaur Baia Mare vs Unirea Tășnad?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Minaur Baia Mare (1,598) and Unirea Tășnad (1,509).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Minaur Baia Mare have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Unirea Tășnad have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Corvinul Hunedoara(home) | 2-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | CSM Satu Mare(home) | 5-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sighetu Marmaţiei(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Metalurgistul Cugir(away) | 3-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Viitorul Arad(home) | 2-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Crişul Sântandrei(away) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| May 23, 2026 | FC Politehnica Timisoara(away) | 0-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Unirea Alba Iulia(home) | 0-4 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Metalurgistul Cugir(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 2, 2026 | Viitorul Arad(home) | 3-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Minaur Baia Mare win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Unirea Tășnad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Unirea Tășnad 2-0 Minaur Baia Mare | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Minaur Baia Mare 1-5 Unirea Tășnad | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| Aug 15, 2018 | Minaur Baia Mare 3-1 Unirea Tășnad | Cupa României |
Last archived meeting: Unirea Tășnad vs Minaur Baia Mare on Nov 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Minaur Baia Mare score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Unirea Tășnad score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minaur Baia Mare | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Unirea Tășnad | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Minaur Baia Mare sit 1st in Liga III - Serie 8 (47 points from 22 matches) and Unirea Tășnad sit 3rd (46 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minaur Baia Mare | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 27 | 47 |
| 3 | Unirea Tășnad | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 54 | 23 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Minaur Baia Mare vs Unirea Tășnad?
- The Footlab model makes Minaur Baia Mare the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Unirea Tășnad.
- Where and when is Minaur Baia Mare vs Unirea Tășnad played?
- Minaur Baia Mare vs Unirea Tășnad is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Viorel Mateianu, in the Liga III - Serie 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.