Where and when is Mineros de Fresnillo vs Calor de San Pedro played?

Mineros de Fresnillo vs Calor de San Pedro is played on October 27, 2026 at 02:05 AM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Minera Fresnillo, in the Liga Premier Serie A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mineros de Fresnillo vs Calor de San Pedro: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 9Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 02:05 AM (UTC)Unidad Deportiva Minera Fresnillo, Fresnillo

Mineros de Fresnillo

Calor de San Pedro

The Footlab model makes Mineros de Fresnillo the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Calor de San Pedro. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mineros de Fresnillo vs Calor de San Pedro?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Mineros de Fresnillo (1,852) and Calor de San Pedro (1,888).

Mineros de Fresnillo win42 %

Draw26 %

Calor de San Pedro win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mineros de Fresnillo have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Calor de San Pedro have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mineros de Fresnillo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Cimarrones(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 15, 2026	Cimarrones(home)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026	Durango(away)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 28, 2026	Reboceros La Piedad(home)	6-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026	Colima(away)	0-0	Liga Premier Serie A

Calor de San Pedro
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Deportiva Venados(away)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 16, 2026	Deportiva Venados(home)	0-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 12, 2026	Lobos ULMX(home)	4-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 4, 2026	Gavilanes FC Matamoros(home)	2-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2026	Real Apodaca(away)	0-1	Liga Premier Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Mineros de Fresnillo win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Calor de San Pedro win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 20, 2024	Mineros de Fresnillo 3-1 Calor de San Pedro	Liga Premier Serie A
Aug 19, 2023	Calor de San Pedro 1-1 Mineros de Fresnillo	Liga Premier Serie A

Last archived meeting: Mineros de Fresnillo vs Calor de San Pedro on Jan 20, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Mineros de Fresnillo score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Calor de San Pedro score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mineros de Fresnillo	1.7	1.2	4	10/15	8/15
Calor de San Pedro	1.3	0.9	5	6/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mineros de Fresnillo sit 7th in Liga Premier Serie A (39 points from 26 matches) and Calor de San Pedro sit 5th (44 points from 26 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Calor de San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37	26	44
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40	41	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mineros de Fresnillo vs Calor de San Pedro?: The Footlab model makes Mineros de Fresnillo the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Calor de San Pedro.
Where and when is Mineros de Fresnillo vs Calor de San Pedro played?: Mineros de Fresnillo vs Calor de San Pedro is played on October 27, 2026 at 02:05 AM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Minera Fresnillo, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.