Where and when is FC Santiago vs Real Refineros played?

FC Santiago vs Real Refineros is played on October 23, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Complejo Capilla Soccer Park, in the Liga Premier Serie A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Santiago vs Real Refineros: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 9Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Complejo Capilla Soccer Park, San Antonio

FC Santiago

Real Refineros

The Footlab model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Real Refineros. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Santiago vs Real Refineros?

FC Santiago win60 %

Draw23 %

Real Refineros win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Santiago have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Real Refineros have 0, 0 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Santiago
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Zacatepec 1948(home)	2-3	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 15, 2026	Zacatepec 1948(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026	Sporting Canamy(away)	6-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 6, 2026	Zitacuaro(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 31, 2026	Ciervos(home)	5-0	Liga Premier Serie A

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43	21	51

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Santiago vs Real Refineros?: The Footlab model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Real Refineros.
Where and when is FC Santiago vs Real Refineros played?: FC Santiago vs Real Refineros is played on October 23, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Complejo Capilla Soccer Park, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.