Minerul Lupeni vs Oltul Curtişoara: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 6Group 6 - 7Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Minerul, Lupeni
The Footlab model makes Minerul Lupeni the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Oltul Curtişoara. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Minerul Lupeni vs Oltul Curtişoara?
Minerul Lupeni starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,607 vs 1,461).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Minerul Lupeni have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Oltul Curtişoara have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Unirea Slobozia(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Jiul Petroşani(away) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Caransebes(away) | 0-0 | Cupa României |
| May 30, 2026 | Unirea Alba Iulia(home) | 0-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 23, 2026 | CS U Craiova II(away) | 3-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Slatina(home) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Filiaşi(away) | 3-3 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Academica Balș(home) | 0-0 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | Filiaşi(away) | 4-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| May 9, 2026 | Axi Adunații-Copăceni(home) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Minerul Lupeni score 1.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Oltul Curtişoara score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minerul Lupeni | 1.3 | 0.5 | 11 | 2/15 | 4/15 |
| Oltul Curtişoara | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Minerul Lupeni | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 23 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Minerul Lupeni vs Oltul Curtişoara?
- The Footlab model makes Minerul Lupeni the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Oltul Curtişoara.
- Where and when is Minerul Lupeni vs Oltul Curtişoara played?
- Minerul Lupeni vs Oltul Curtişoara is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Minerul, in the Liga III - Serie 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.