Unirea Bascov vs Jiul Petroşani: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 6Group 6 - 7Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Teren fotbal Nicolae Dobrin - Valea Ursului, Valea Ursului
The Footlab model makes Jiul Petroşani the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Unirea Bascov. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unirea Bascov vs Jiul Petroşani?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Unirea Bascov (1,397) and Jiul Petroşani (1,484).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unirea Bascov have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Jiul Petroşani have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Domnesti IF(away) | 2-3 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Păușești(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| May 8, 2026 | ACS Mediaş 2022(away) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| May 1, 2026 | Viitorul Dăești(home) | 4-0 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Gilortul(away) | 5-0 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Minerul Lupeni(home) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Metalurgistul Cugir(away) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Unirea DMO(away) | 4-0 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Academica Balș(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Cetatea(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Unirea Bascov win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Jiul Petroşani win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2025 | Unirea Bascov 3-3 Jiul Petroşani | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Jiul Petroşani 1-0 Unirea Bascov | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Jiul Petroşani 1-1 Unirea Bascov | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| Oct 11, 2024 | Unirea Bascov 2-0 Jiul Petroşani | Liga III - Serie 8 |
Last archived meeting: Unirea Bascov vs Jiul Petroşani on Nov 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Unirea Bascov score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Jiul Petroşani score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unirea Bascov | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Jiul Petroşani | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Unirea Bascov sit 6th in Liga III - Serie 6 (32 points from 7 matches) and Jiul Petroşani sit 4th (37 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jiul Petroşani | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 37 |
| 6 | Unirea Bascov | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unirea Bascov vs Jiul Petroşani?
- The Footlab model makes Jiul Petroşani the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Unirea Bascov.
- Where and when is Unirea Bascov vs Jiul Petroşani played?
- Unirea Bascov vs Jiul Petroşani is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Teren fotbal Nicolae Dobrin - Valea Ursului, in the Liga III - Serie 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.