Minerul Lupeni vs Unirea Bascov: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 6Group 6 - 3Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Minerul, Lupeni
The Footlab model makes Minerul Lupeni the favourite at 69%, against 20% for a draw and 11% for Unirea Bascov. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Minerul Lupeni vs Unirea Bascov?
Minerul Lupeni starts as the favourite with a 210-point Elo edge (1,607 vs 1,397).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Minerul Lupeni have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Unirea Bascov have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Unirea Slobozia(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Jiul Petroşani(away) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Caransebes(away) | 0-0 | Cupa României |
| May 30, 2026 | Unirea Alba Iulia(home) | 0-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 23, 2026 | CS U Craiova II(away) | 3-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Domnesti IF(away) | 2-3 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Păușești(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| May 8, 2026 | ACS Mediaş 2022(away) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| May 1, 2026 | Viitorul Dăești(home) | 4-0 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Gilortul(away) | 5-0 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Minerul Lupeni win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Unirea Bascov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | Unirea Bascov 3-0 Minerul Lupeni | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Minerul Lupeni 3-1 Unirea Bascov | Liga III - Serie 6 |
Last archived meeting: Unirea Bascov vs Minerul Lupeni on Mar 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Minerul Lupeni score 1.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Unirea Bascov score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minerul Lupeni | 1.3 | 0.5 | 11 | 2/15 | 4/15 |
| Unirea Bascov | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Minerul Lupeni sit 2nd in Liga III - Serie 6 (40 points from 22 matches) and Unirea Bascov sit 6th (32 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Minerul Lupeni | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 23 | 40 |
| 6 | Unirea Bascov | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Minerul Lupeni vs Unirea Bascov?
- The Footlab model makes Minerul Lupeni the favourite at 69%, against 20% for a draw and 11% for Unirea Bascov.
- Where and when is Minerul Lupeni vs Unirea Bascov played?
- Minerul Lupeni vs Unirea Bascov is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Minerul, in the Liga III - Serie 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.