Minnesota United II vs Los Angeles FC II: prediction and stats
MLS Next ProGroup StageKick-off on September 20, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)National Sports Center, Blaine, Minnesota
The Footlab model makes Minnesota United II the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Los Angeles FC II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Minnesota United II vs Los Angeles FC II?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Minnesota United II (1,627) and Los Angeles FC II (1,626).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Minnesota United II have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Los Angeles FC II have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | North Texas(away) | 1-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 9, 2026 | The Town(home) | 1-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Portland Timbers II(home) | 1-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Sporting KC II(away) | 0-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 13, 2026 | Austin II(away) | 3-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sporting KC II(home) | 2-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Tacoma Defiance(home) | 4-3 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Portland Timbers II(away) | 0-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Colorado Rapids II(home) | 3-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 26, 2026 | North Texas(away) | 2-2 | MLS Next Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Minnesota United II win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Los Angeles FC II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2026 | Los Angeles FC II 1-0 Minnesota United II | MLS Next Pro |
| Jun 26, 2025 | Los Angeles FC II 1-0 Minnesota United II | MLS Next Pro |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Los Angeles FC II 4-1 Minnesota United II | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 10, 2023 | Los Angeles FC II 0-1 Minnesota United II | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 17, 2023 | Minnesota United II 2-0 Los Angeles FC II | MLS Next Pro |
Last archived meeting: Los Angeles FC II vs Minnesota United II on Jun 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Minnesota United II score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Los Angeles FC II score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota United II | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Los Angeles FC II | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Minnesota United II sit 10th in MLS Next Pro (31 points from 23 matches) and Los Angeles FC II sit 5th (41 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Los Angeles FC II | 23 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 39 | 36 | 41 |
| 5 | Minnesota United II | 23 | 10 | 0 | 13 | 31 | 36 | 31 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC II | 23 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 39 | 36 | 41 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC II | 22 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 37 | 35 | 38 |
| 9 | Minnesota United II | 22 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 30 | 35 | 30 |
| 10 | Minnesota United II | 23 | 10 | 0 | 13 | 31 | 36 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Minnesota United II vs Los Angeles FC II?
- The Footlab model makes Minnesota United II the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Los Angeles FC II.
- Where and when is Minnesota United II vs Los Angeles FC II played?
- Minnesota United II vs Los Angeles FC II is played on September 20, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at National Sports Center, in the MLS Next Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2026Inter Miami II1-1Chicago Fire II
- Feb 28, 2026Philadelphia Union II1-0Toronto II
- Feb 28, 2026St. Louis City II4-0Sporting KC II
- Mar 1, 2026Chattanooga1-4Crown Legacy
- Mar 1, 2026Portland Timbers II2-1The Town
- Mar 1, 2026New York RB II4-2Columbus Crew II
- Mar 1, 2026Real Monarchs2-2North Texas
- Mar 1, 2026FC Cincinnati II1-3Connecticut FC