Minsk II vs Smorgon: result 1-0 and analysis
1. DivisionRegular Season - 14Kick-off on July 20, 2013 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Tarpeda, Minsk
Full time
What was the result of Minsk II vs Smorgon?
Minsk II won 1-0 on July 20, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 31′S. RusakMinsk II
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Minsk II have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Smorgon have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 2013 | Khimik Svetlogorsk(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Jul 6, 2013 | Lida(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Jun 29, 2013 | FC Vitebsk(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Jun 22, 2013 | Granit(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Jun 16, 2013 | Smolevichi-Sti(away) | 3-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2013 | Lida(away) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 6, 2013 | Granit(home) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Jun 22, 2013 | Polotsk(home) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Jun 16, 2013 | Volna(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Jun 8, 2013 | FC Slutsk(home) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Minsk II score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Smorgon score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minsk II | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Smorgon | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Minsk II sit 10th in 1. Division (29 points from 21 matches) and Smorgon sit 14th (23 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Minsk II | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 36 | 29 |
| 14 | Smorgon | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | Smorgon | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 10 |
| 17 | Minsk II | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy