Miramar vs Progreso: result 1-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 6Kick-off on March 16, 2025 at 12:45 AM (UTC)Parque Palermo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Miramar vs Progreso?
Miramar and Progreso drew 1-1 on March 16, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 17′N. AyalaMiramar
- 59′A. MoreiraProgreso
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Miramar have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Progreso have 1, 6 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2025 | Danubio(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Cerro Largo(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Juventud(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | Boston River(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Danubio(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Club Nacional(home) | 1-5 | Primera División |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Cerro Largo(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Penarol(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Miramar win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Progreso win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2024 | Progreso 0-0 Miramar | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Miramar 2-3 Progreso | Primera División |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Progreso 1-1 Miramar | Segunda División |
| May 13, 2023 | Miramar 2-2 Progreso | Segunda División |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Progreso 1-1 Miramar | Segunda División |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Miramar 0-1 Progreso | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Miramar score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 1.0 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miramar | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Progreso | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy