Mirandés II vs Arandina: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Anduva, Miranda de Ebro
The Footlab model makes Mirandés II the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Arandina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mirandés II vs Arandina?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Mirandés II (1,754) and Arandina (1,715).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mirandés II have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Arandina have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Villaralbo(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Arandina(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bembibre(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Becerril Campos(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Mirandés II(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Bembibre(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | UD Santa Marta(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | La Virgen del Camino(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mirandés II win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Arandina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Arandina 2-1 Mirandés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Mirandés II 3-0 Arandina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Arandina 2-4 Mirandés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Mirandés II 1-3 Arandina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Arandina 0-0 Mirandés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Dec 18, 2022 | Mirandés II 2-3 Arandina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Arandina vs Mirandés II on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mirandés II score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Arandina score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirandés II | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Arandina | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mirandés II sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (47 points from 34 matches) and Arandina sit 12th (37 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mirandés II | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 47 |
| 12 | Arandina | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32 | 46 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mirandés II vs Arandina?
- The Footlab model makes Mirandés II the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Arandina.
- Where and when is Mirandés II vs Arandina played?
- Mirandés II vs Arandina is played on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Anduva, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 4, 2027GuijuelovsPalencia CF
- Apr 4, 2027BembibrevsBurgos Promesas
- Apr 4, 2027Cristo AtléticovsUD Santa Marta
- Apr 4, 2027La Virgen del CaminovsColegios Diocesanos
- Apr 4, 2027Atlético MansillésvsCultural Leonesa II
- Apr 4, 2027TuréganovsAlmazán
- Apr 4, 2027Unionistas IIvsVillaralbo
- Apr 4, 2027Calasanz de SoriavsSalamanca II