Cristo Atlético vs UD Santa Marta: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Nueva Balastera, Palencia
The Footlab model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for UD Santa Marta. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cristo Atlético vs UD Santa Marta?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Cristo Atlético (1,864) and UD Santa Marta (1,805).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cristo Atlético have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; UD Santa Marta have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Laredo(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Palencia CF(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 17, 2026 | Palencia CF(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 10, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 16, 2026 | Guijuelo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 10, 2026 | Almazán(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Palencia CF(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cristo Atlético win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 UD Santa Marta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | UD Santa Marta 1-2 Cristo Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Cristo Atlético 2-1 UD Santa Marta | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Cristo Atlético 2-1 UD Santa Marta | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | UD Santa Marta 3-3 Cristo Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 23, 2024 | UD Santa Marta 1-1 Cristo Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Cristo Atlético 2-2 UD Santa Marta | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: UD Santa Marta vs Cristo Atlético on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cristo Atlético score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; UD Santa Marta score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristo Atlético | 1.5 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| UD Santa Marta | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cristo Atlético sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (68 points from 34 matches) and UD Santa Marta sit 5th (62 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cristo Atlético | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 48 | 24 | 68 |
| 5 | UD Santa Marta | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53 | 31 | 62 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cristo Atlético vs UD Santa Marta?
- The Footlab model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for UD Santa Marta.
- Where and when is Cristo Atlético vs UD Santa Marta played?
- Cristo Atlético vs UD Santa Marta is played on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Nueva Balastera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 4, 2027GuijuelovsPalencia CF
- Apr 4, 2027BembibrevsBurgos Promesas
- Apr 4, 2027La Virgen del CaminovsColegios Diocesanos
- Apr 4, 2027Mirandés IIvsArandina
- Apr 4, 2027Atlético MansillésvsCultural Leonesa II
- Apr 4, 2027TuréganovsAlmazán
- Apr 4, 2027Unionistas IIvsVillaralbo
- Apr 4, 2027Calasanz de SoriavsSalamanca II