Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat: prediction and stats
First LeagueMatchday 16Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)DG Arena, Podgorica
The Footlab AI model makes Mladost DG the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Arsenal Tivat. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mladost DG wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,999 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Mladost DG (1,379) and Arsenal Tivat (1,353).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mladost DG
4-3-3- 27Stephano Almeida
- 9D. Mugosa
- 7L. Knezevic
- 28N. A. Cordoba
- 44J. Nikolić
- 29J. Roganović
- 37L. Pejović
- 6Z. Ceklic
- 32S. Radinović
- 4N. Jovičić
- 25Petar Radulović
Arsenal Tivat
4-3-3- 9I. Vukčević
- 16V. Kašćelan
- 77S. Mandić
- 8I. Šahman
- 88Abdulsamed Ahmed Abdullahi
- 26M. Zivanovic
- 5G. PetoviÄ
- 13Z. Mikijelj
- 27A. Kralj
- 29K. Vujacic
- 1B. Zogović
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 08:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mladost DG have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Arsenal Tivat have 1, 7 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Dečić(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Sutjeska(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Petrovac(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Mornar(away) | 1-4 | First League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Jezero(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Jezero(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Otrant-Olympic(away) | 1-3 | First League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Bokelj(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Buducnost Podgorica(away) | 3-3 | First League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Mornar(home) | 1-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Mladost DG wins, 1 draw, 2 Arsenal Tivat wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Arsenal Tivat 0-1 Mladost DG | First League |
| May 24, 2026 | Arsenal Tivat 1-4 Mladost DG | First League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Mladost DG 1-2 Arsenal Tivat | First League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Arsenal Tivat 0-0 Mladost DG | First League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Mladost DG 2-0 Arsenal Tivat | First League |
| May 18, 2024 | Arsenal Tivat 3-1 Mladost DG | First League |
Last archived meeting: Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG on Sep 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mladost DG score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal Tivat score 0.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mladost DG | 0.9 | 1.7 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Arsenal Tivat | 0.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mladost DG sit 9th in First League (12 points from 15 matches) and Arsenal Tivat sit 10th (9 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mladost DG | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 25 | 12 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tivat | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 9 |
A question about Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mladost DG the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Arsenal Tivat.
- Where and when is Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat played?
- Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at DG Arena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.