Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)DG Arena, Podgorica
The Footlab model makes Mladost DG the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Arsenal Tivat. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Mladost DG (1,449) and Arsenal Tivat (1,449).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mladost DG have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Arsenal Tivat have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Petrovac(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mornar(home) | 2-3 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Jezero(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Otrant-Olympic(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Semendrija 1924(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bokelj(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Buducnost Podgorica(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Mornar(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dečić(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| May 24, 2026 | Mladost DG(home) | 1-4 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mladost DG win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Arsenal Tivat win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Arsenal Tivat 1-4 Mladost DG | First League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Mladost DG 1-2 Arsenal Tivat | First League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Arsenal Tivat 0-0 Mladost DG | First League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Mladost DG 2-0 Arsenal Tivat | First League |
| May 18, 2024 | Arsenal Tivat 3-1 Mladost DG | First League |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Mladost DG 1-2 Arsenal Tivat | First League |
Last archived meeting: Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mladost DG score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal Tivat score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mladost DG | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Arsenal Tivat | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mladost DG sit 8th in First League (4 points from 4 matches) and Arsenal Tivat sit 6th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Arsenal Tivat | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Mladost DG | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat?
- The Footlab model makes Mladost DG the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Arsenal Tivat.
- Where and when is Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat played?
- Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at DG Arena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.