Mornar vs Sutjeska: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion SRC Topolica, Bar
The Footlab AI model makes Mornar the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Sutjeska. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mornar wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mornar vs Sutjeska?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Mornar (1,617) and Sutjeska (1,574).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mornar vs Sutjeska
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mornar
4-3-3- 11Y. Yao
- 9A. Soussi
- 20N. Medojević
- 97Petar Vukčević
- 17J. Dašić
- 10D. Škrijelj
- 33N. Stijepović
- 6I. Martinović
- 15J. Baošić
- 32V. Ljutica
- 24Benjamin Krijestarac
Sutjeska
4-3-3- 10B. Tošković
- 11V. Čavor
- 7A. Boljević
- 6D. Hočko
- 2A. Golubović
- 77M. Šimun
- 72A. Babić
- 15B. Kopitović
- 22A. Ražnatović
- 4M. Vračar
- 12T. Durovic
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mornar have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Sutjeska have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Otrant-Olympic(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Jezero(home) | 3-3 | First League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Mladost DG(away) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Dečić(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Otrant-Olympic(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Dečić(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Buducnost Podgorica(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arsenal Tivat(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Dečić(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Mornar(home) | 1-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Mornar wins, 1 draw, 2 Sutjeska wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | Sutjeska 1-0 Mornar | First League |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Mornar 2-1 Sutjeska | First League |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Sutjeska 2-2 Mornar | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Sutjeska 0-1 Mornar | First League |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Mornar 1-0 Sutjeska | First League |
| Aug 4, 2025 | Sutjeska 3-0 Mornar | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mornar score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sutjeska score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mornar | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Sutjeska | 0.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mornar sit 6th in First League (14 points from 10 matches) and Sutjeska sit 3rd (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sutjeska | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 15 |
| 6 | Mornar | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 14 |
A question about Mornar vs Sutjeska?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mornar vs Sutjeska?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mornar the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Sutjeska.
- Where and when is Mornar vs Sutjeska played?
- Mornar vs Sutjeska is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion SRC Topolica, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.