Modica vs Trapani 1905: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Modica the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Trapani 1905. The most likely score is 1-1. If Modica wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Modica vs Trapani 1905?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Modica (1,635) and Trapani 1905 (1,625).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Modica vs Trapani 1905
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Modica
Not enough data to predict the Modica lineup.
Trapani 1905
4-3-3- 77B. Stauciuc
- 99B. Balla
- 18Ryder Matos
- 20G. Aronica
- 30S. Nicoli
- 10L. Napolitano
- 31R. Pirrello
- 7P. Ortisi
- 27F. Cozzoli
- 23A. Moțoc
- 12C. Galeotti
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Modica have 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Trapani 1905 have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Digiesse PraiaTortora(away) | 1-5 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Calcio Avola(away) | 4-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Enna(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Siracusa(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CastrumFavara(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sambiase(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Licata(home) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Reggina(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ragusa(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Igea Virtus(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Modica score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 8; Trapani 1905 score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modica | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 2/8 | 4/8 |
| Trapani 1905 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Modica sit 13th in Serie D - Girone I (7 points from 7 matches) and Trapani 1905 sit 17th (1 point from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Modica | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
| 17 | Trapani 1905 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 1 |
A question about Modica vs Trapani 1905?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Modica vs Trapani 1905?
- The Footlab AI model makes Modica the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Trapani 1905.
- Where and when is Modica vs Trapani 1905 played?
- Modica vs Trapani 1905 is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.