Moknine vs EGS Gafsa: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 7Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stade Mongi-Slim, Moknine
The Footlab AI model makes Moknine the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for EGS Gafsa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Moknine wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,474 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Moknine vs EGS Gafsa?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Moknine (1,517) and EGS Gafsa (1,587).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Moknine vs EGS Gafsa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Moknine
Not enough data to predict the Moknine lineup.
EGS Gafsa
Not enough data to predict the EGS Gafsa lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 04:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Moknine have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; EGS Gafsa have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | AS Kasserine(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Ksour Essef(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Kalaâ Sport(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Jendouba Sport(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Stade Gabesien(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Ariana(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | JS Kairouanaise(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | CO Medenine(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Olympique du Kef(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Korba(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Moknine wins, 2 draws, 2 EGS Gafsa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | EGS Gafsa 3-0 Moknine | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Moknine 0-0 EGS Gafsa | Ligue 2 |
| May 27, 2023 | Moknine 1-1 EGS Gafsa | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 8, 2023 | EGS Gafsa 4-1 Moknine | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Moknine score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; EGS Gafsa score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moknine | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| EGS Gafsa | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Moknine sit 28th in Ligue 2 (1 point from 6 matches) and EGS Gafsa sit 19th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | EGS Gafsa | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 6 |
| 28 | Moknine | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
A question about Moknine vs EGS Gafsa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Moknine vs EGS Gafsa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Moknine the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for EGS Gafsa.
- Where and when is Moknine vs EGS Gafsa played?
- Moknine vs EGS Gafsa is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Mongi-Slim, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.