Mold Alexandra vs Penrhyncoch: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 24Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Alyn Park, Mold, Flintshire
The Footlab AI model makes Mold Alexandra the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Penrhyncoch. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,640 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mold Alexandra vs Penrhyncoch?
Mold Alexandra starts as the favourite with a 236-point Elo edge (1,742 vs 1,506).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mold Alexandra vs Penrhyncoch
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mold Alexandra
Not enough data to predict the Mold Alexandra lineup.
Penrhyncoch
Not enough data to predict the Penrhyncoch lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 02:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mold Alexandra have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Penrhyncoch have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(away) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newtown AFC(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bala Town(away) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 5-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(away) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Bala Town(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 1-5 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mold Alexandra win, 3 draws, 2 Penrhyncoch wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Penrhyncoch 3-1 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Mold Alexandra 2-2 Penrhyncoch | FAW Championship |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Penrhyncoch 0-0 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Mold Alexandra 1-2 Penrhyncoch | FAW Championship |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Penrhyncoch 1-3 Mold Alexandra | Welsh Cup |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Penrhyncoch 2-2 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mold Alexandra score 2.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Penrhyncoch score 0.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mold Alexandra | 2.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Penrhyncoch | 0.9 | 2.5 | 1 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mold Alexandra sit 4th in FAW Championship (21 points from 11 matches) and Penrhyncoch sit 16th (1 point from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 14 | 21 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 1 |
A question about Mold Alexandra vs Penrhyncoch?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mold Alexandra vs Penrhyncoch?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mold Alexandra the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Penrhyncoch.
- Where and when is Mold Alexandra vs Penrhyncoch played?
- Mold Alexandra vs Penrhyncoch is played on February 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Alyn Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.