Denbigh Town vs Newtown AFC: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 24Kick-off on February 19, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Central Park, Denbigh, Denbighshire
The Footlab AI model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Denbigh Town. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,323 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Denbigh Town vs Newtown AFC?
Newtown AFC starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,707 vs 1,575).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Denbigh Town vs Newtown AFC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Denbigh Town
Not enough data to predict the Denbigh Town lineup.
Newtown AFC
Not enough data to predict the Newtown AFC lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 03:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Denbigh Town have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Newtown AFC have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(away) | 4-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 0-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rhyl(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(home) | 7-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Denbigh Town win, 0 draws, 2 Newtown AFC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Newtown AFC 1-0 Denbigh Town | FAW Championship |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Denbigh Town 1-0 Newtown AFC | FAW Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Newtown AFC 4-2 Denbigh Town | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Newtown AFC vs Denbigh Town on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Denbigh Town score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Newtown AFC score 2.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denbigh Town | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Newtown AFC | 2.3 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Denbigh Town sit 12th in FAW Championship (14 points from 13 matches) and Newtown AFC sit 2nd (30 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
| 12 | Denbigh Town | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 28 | 14 |
A question about Denbigh Town vs Newtown AFC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Denbigh Town vs Newtown AFC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Denbigh Town.
- Where and when is Denbigh Town vs Newtown AFC played?
- Denbigh Town vs Newtown AFC is played on February 19, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Central Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.