Moldova vs Italy: result 0-2 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification EuropeGroup Stage - 9Kick-off on November 13, 2025 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Stadionul Zimbru, Chişinău
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What was the result of Moldova vs Italy?
Italy won 0-2 on November 13, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 88′G. ManciniItaly
- 90′F. EspositoItaly
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Moldova have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Italy have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | Estonia(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 9, 2025 | Romania(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Norway(away) | 1-11 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Israel(home) | 0-4 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Italy(away) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | Israel(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Estonia(away) | 3-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 8, 2025 | Israel(away) | 5-4 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Estonia(home) | 5-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Moldova(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Moldova win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Italy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2025 | Italy 2-0 Moldova | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Italy 6-0 Moldova | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Moldova score 0.8 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Italy score 2.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moldova | 0.8 | 2.4 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Italy | 2.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Moldova sit 5th in World Cup - Qualification Europe (1 points from 8 matches) and Italy sit 2nd (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Italy | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 18 |
| 5 | Moldova | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy