Norway vs Estonia: result 4-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification EuropeGroup Stage - 9Kick-off on November 13, 2025 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo
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What was the result of Norway vs Estonia?
Norway won 4-1 on November 13, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 50′A. SørlothNorway
- 52′A. SørlothNorway
- 56′E. HaalandNorway
- 62′E. HaalandNorway
- 64′R. SaarmaEstonia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Norway have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Estonia have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | New Zealand(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Israel(home) | 5-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Moldova(home) | 11-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 4, 2025 | Finland(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Estonia(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | Moldova(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Italy(home) | 1-3 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Andorra(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Italy(away) | 0-5 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Norway(home) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Norway win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Estonia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2025 | Estonia 0-1 Norway | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
How many goals should we expect?
Norway score 3.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Estonia score 0.7 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norway | 3.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Estonia | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Norway sit 1st in World Cup - Qualification Europe (24 points from 8 matches) and Estonia sit 4th (4 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norway | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 5 | 24 |
| 4 | Estonia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy