Match

Tona vs Peralada: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Tona, Tona

TonaPeralada

The Footlab model makes Tona the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Peralada. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tona vs Peralada?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Tona (1,759) and Peralada (1,765).

Tona win44 %
Draw30 %
Peralada win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tona have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Peralada have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tona
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026L'Escala(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
May 3, 2026Vilassar Mar(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Mollerussa(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026San Cristóbal(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026Cornellà(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Peralada
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Montañesa(home)5-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
May 3, 2026Cerdanyola del Vallès(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Can Vidalet(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026Vic(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026L'Hospitalet(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Tona win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Peralada win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 15, 2026Tona 0-0 PeraladaTercera División RFEF - Group 5
Nov 2, 2025Peralada 0-0 TonaTercera División RFEF - Group 5
Feb 23, 2025Peralada 2-1 TonaTercera División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 13, 2024Tona 0-0 PeraladaTercera División RFEF - Group 5
Feb 25, 2024Peralada 2-0 TonaTercera División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 7, 2023Tona 1-1 PeraladaTercera División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: Tona vs Peralada on Mar 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tona score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Peralada score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tona1.20.967/156/15
Peralada1.41.367/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tona sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (45 points from 34 matches) and Peralada sit 8th (46 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Peralada34111310453946
9Tona3410159353145

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tona vs Peralada?
The Footlab model makes Tona the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Peralada.
Where and when is Tona vs Peralada played?
Tona vs Peralada is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Tona, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Tona and Peralada

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