Tona vs Peralada: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Tona, Tona
The Footlab AI model makes Tona the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Peralada. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tona wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tona vs Peralada?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Tona (1,710) and Peralada (1,751).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tona vs Peralada
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tona
Not enough data to predict the Tona lineup.
Peralada
Not enough data to predict the Peralada lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tona have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Peralada have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Grama(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Badalona(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | San Juan Atletico de Montcada(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pobla Mafumet(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Peralada(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Atlètic Lleida(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Vilanova(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tona(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | San Cristóbal(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tona win, 3 draws, 2 Peralada wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Peralada 0-1 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Tona 0-0 Peralada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Peralada 0-0 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Peralada 2-1 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Tona 0-0 Peralada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Peralada 2-0 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Tona score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Peralada score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tona | 0.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Peralada | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tona sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (6 points from 6 matches) and Peralada sit 13th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Peralada | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 15 | Tona | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
A question about Tona vs Peralada?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tona vs Peralada?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tona the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Peralada.
- Where and when is Tona vs Peralada played?
- Tona vs Peralada is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Tona, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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