Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa Conference LeaguePlayoff roundKick-off on August 27, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC)Stade Louis-II, Monaco
The Footlab model makes Monaco the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Gornik Zabrze. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Monaco (2,087) and Gornik Zabrze (2,037).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monaco have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Gornik Zabrze have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Le Havre(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Coventry(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Getafe(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Monaco win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Gornik Zabrze win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze 2-3 Monaco | UEFA Europa Conference League |
Last archived meeting: Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco on Aug 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Monaco score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gornik Zabrze score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Gornik Zabrze | 1.6 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze?
- The Footlab model makes Monaco the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Gornik Zabrze.
- Where and when is Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze played?
- Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze is played on August 27, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC) at Stade Louis-II, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.