Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla Plock: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze
The Footlab model makes Gornik Zabrze the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Wisla Plock. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla Plock?
Gornik Zabrze starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (2,040 vs 1,916).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gornik Zabrze have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Wisla Plock have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 0-5 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(home) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gornik Zabrze win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Wisla Plock win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Wisla Plock 0-1 Gornik Zabrze | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Gornik Zabrze 1-1 Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa |
| Mar 17, 2023 | Gornik Zabrze 3-2 Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 5, 2022 | Wisla Plock 1-1 Gornik Zabrze | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 4, 2022 | Wisla Plock 3-2 Gornik Zabrze | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Gornik Zabrze 4-2 Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Wisla Plock vs Gornik Zabrze on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gornik Zabrze score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Wisla Plock score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gornik Zabrze | 1.6 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Wisla Plock | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gornik Zabrze sit 2nd in Ekstraklasa (9 points from 3 matches) and Wisla Plock sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 15 | Wisla Plock | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla Plock?
- The Footlab model makes Gornik Zabrze the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Wisla Plock.
- Where and when is Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla Plock played?
- Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla Plock is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026JagielloniavsRadomiak Radom
- Nov 28, 2026Slask WroclawvsGKS Katowice
- Nov 28, 2026Wisla KrakowvsMotor Lublin
- Nov 28, 2026Legia WarszawavsWieczysta Kraków
- Nov 28, 2026Korona KielcevsCracovia Krakow
- Nov 28, 2026Lech PoznanvsPogon Szczecin
- Nov 28, 2026Raków CzęstochowavsPiast Gliwice
- Nov 28, 2026Widzew ŁódźvsZaglebie Lubin