Match

Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla Plock: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze

Gornik ZabrzeWisla Plock

The Footlab model makes Gornik Zabrze the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Wisla Plock. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla Plock?

Gornik Zabrze starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (2,040 vs 1,916).

Gornik Zabrze win53 %
Draw25 %
Wisla Plock win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gornik Zabrze have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Wisla Plock have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gornik Zabrze
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Monaco(home)2-3UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 16, 2026Wisla Krakow(home)2-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 13, 2026Ferencvarosi TC(home)1-1UEFA Europa League
Aug 8, 2026Radomiak Radom(away)3-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 5, 2026Ferencvarosi TC(away)0-1UEFA Europa League
Wisla Plock
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026GKS Katowice(away)0-5Ekstraklasa
Aug 7, 2026Wisla Krakow(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026Widzew Łódź(home)0-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026Raków Częstochowa(away)2-1Ekstraklasa
Jul 22, 2026Pelikan Łowicz(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gornik Zabrze win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Wisla Plock win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Wisla Plock 0-1 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
Nov 21, 2025Gornik Zabrze 1-1 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa
Mar 17, 2023Gornik Zabrze 3-2 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa
Sep 5, 2022Wisla Plock 1-1 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
Apr 4, 2022Wisla Plock 3-2 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
Oct 2, 2021Gornik Zabrze 4-2 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Wisla Plock vs Gornik Zabrze on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gornik Zabrze score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Wisla Plock score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gornik Zabrze1.61.3210/159/15
Wisla Plock1.31.646/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gornik Zabrze sit 2nd in Ekstraklasa (9 points from 3 matches) and Wisla Plock sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Gornik Zabrze3300739
15Wisla Plock4112384

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla Plock?
The Footlab model makes Gornik Zabrze the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Wisla Plock.
Where and when is Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla Plock played?
Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla Plock is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Gornik Zabrze and Wisla Plock

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