Monastir vs Sarnese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Monastir the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Sarnese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Monastir wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Monastir vs Sarnese?
A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates Monastir (1,773) and Sarnese (1,772).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Monastir vs Sarnese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Monastir
Not enough data to predict the Monastir lineup.
Sarnese
Not enough data to predict the Sarnese lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monastir have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; Sarnese have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Latte Dolce(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Budoni(away) | 5-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Albalonga(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Aranova(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Anzio(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atletico Lodigiani(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Paganese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ossese(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gelbison(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Venafro(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
How many goals should we expect?
Monastir score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sarnese score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monastir | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Sarnese | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Monastir sit 2nd in Serie D - Girone G (13 points from 6 matches) and Sarnese sit 1st (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sarnese | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Monastir | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 13 |
A question about Monastir vs Sarnese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Monastir vs Sarnese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Monastir the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Sarnese.
- Where and when is Monastir vs Sarnese played?
- Monastir vs Sarnese is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone G.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.