Montalegre vs Celoricense: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A - 14Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Diogo Alves Vaz Pereira, Montalegre
The Footlab AI model makes Montalegre the favourite at 65%, against 24% for a draw and 11% for Celoricense. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montalegre vs Celoricense?
On Elo ratings, Montalegre has 1,911 points and Celoricense 1,926.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montalegre vs Celoricense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montalegre
4-3-3- NNuno Machado
- II. Boakye
- AAngola
- TTiago Luís
- CCarlos Moura
- HHélder Almeida
- ZZ. Ngom
- BBruno Rafael Antunes Ferreira
- EEdu Machado
- DDouglão
- BBruno Pio
Celoricense
4-3-3- 80Juninho
- 11J. Renteria
- LLucas
- 10D. Alves
- 7Didi
- 14Matchu
- 70J. Padi
- 13C. Mendes
- 17Diogo Miguel
- 18N. Pinto
- 99G. Machado
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montalegre have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Celoricense have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bragança(away) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Maia Lidador(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 5, 2026 | SC Braga B(away) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Ponte da Barca(home) | 0-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Brito(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vila Meã(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bragança(away) | 1-6 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Chaves II(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Tirsense(home) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Pevidem(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Montalegre wins, 1 draw, 0 Celoricense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Celoricense 0-0 Montalegre | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
Last archived meeting: Celoricense vs Montalegre on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Montalegre score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Celoricense score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montalegre | 0.7 | 1.0 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Celoricense | 0.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montalegre sit 8th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (6 points from 4 matches) and Celoricense sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celoricense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Montalegre | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
A question about Montalegre vs Celoricense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montalegre vs Celoricense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montalegre the favourite at 65%, against 24% for a draw and 11% for Celoricense.
- Where and when is Montalegre vs Celoricense played?
- Montalegre vs Celoricense is played on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. Diogo Alves Vaz Pereira, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.