Montecchio Gallo vs Recanatese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 21Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Montecchio Gallo the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Recanatese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Montecchio Gallo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,384 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montecchio Gallo vs Recanatese?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Montecchio Gallo (1,638) and Recanatese (1,557).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montecchio Gallo vs Recanatese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montecchio Gallo
Not enough data to predict the Montecchio Gallo lineup.
Recanatese
Not enough data to predict the Recanatese lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Montecchio Gallo have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Recanatese have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lanciano FC(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Notaresco(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Recanatese(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Pietralunga(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Notaresco(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Maceratese(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lanciano FC(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Montecchio Gallo(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Montecchio Gallo wins, 1 draw, 0 Recanatese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Recanatese 0-0 Montecchio Gallo | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Recanatese vs Montecchio Gallo on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Montecchio Gallo score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 6; Recanatese score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montecchio Gallo | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2 | 3/6 | 2/6 |
| Recanatese | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montecchio Gallo sit 12th in Serie D - Girone F (8 points from 7 matches) and Recanatese sit 15th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Montecchio Gallo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 6 |
A question about Montecchio Gallo vs Recanatese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montecchio Gallo vs Recanatese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montecchio Gallo the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Recanatese.
- Where and when is Montecchio Gallo vs Recanatese played?
- Montecchio Gallo vs Recanatese is played on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.