Sporting Trestina vs Atletico Ascoli: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 21Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Lorenzo Casini, Trestina
The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Ascoli the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Sporting Trestina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atletico Ascoli wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,509 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Trestina vs Atletico Ascoli?
Atletico Ascoli starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,772 vs 1,628).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sporting Trestina vs Atletico Ascoli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sporting Trestina
Not enough data to predict the Sporting Trestina lineup.
Atletico Ascoli
Not enough data to predict the Atletico Ascoli lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 06:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Trestina have 1 win, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Atletico Ascoli have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Pietralunga(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Teramo(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lanciano FC(home) | 5-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Giulianova(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Sporting Trestina wins, 0 draws, 1 Atletico Ascoli win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli 1-0 Sporting Trestina | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Ascoli vs Sporting Trestina on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Trestina score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Ascoli score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Trestina | 0.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Atletico Ascoli | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting Trestina sit 18th in Serie D - Girone F (4 points from 8 matches) and Atletico Ascoli sit 7th (13 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 13 |
| 18 | Sporting Trestina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Sporting Trestina vs Atletico Ascoli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Trestina vs Atletico Ascoli?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Ascoli the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Sporting Trestina.
- Where and when is Sporting Trestina vs Atletico Ascoli played?
- Sporting Trestina vs Atletico Ascoli is played on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Lorenzo Casini, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.