Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic: result 1-0 and analysis
USL ChampionshipRegular Season - 32Kick-off on September 28, 2025 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Cardinale Stadium, Seaside, California
Full time
What was the result of Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic?
Monterey Bay won 1-0 on September 28, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 71′A. RebollarMonterey Bay
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monterey Bay have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Sacramento Republic have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2025 | New Mexico United(home) | 1-1 | USL Championship |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Hartford Athletic(home) | 0-4 | USL Championship |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Colorado Springs(away) | 1-2 | USL Championship |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Oakland Roots(away) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 24, 2025 | San Antonio(home) | 0-0 | USL Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2025 | Colorado Springs(away) | 2-0 | USL Championship |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Phoenix Rising(home) | 2-2 | USL Championship |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Rhode Island(away) | 0-0 | USL League One Cup |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Tampa Bay Rowdies(away) | 2-0 | USL Championship |
| Aug 31, 2025 | New Mexico United(away) | 2-0 | USL Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Monterey Bay win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Sacramento Republic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2025 | Sacramento Republic 1-0 Monterey Bay | USL Championship |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Monterey Bay 2-1 Sacramento Republic | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 10, 2024 | Sacramento Republic 2-2 Monterey Bay | USL Championship |
| Jun 9, 2024 | Monterey Bay 0-2 Sacramento Republic | USL Championship |
| May 8, 2024 | Sacramento Republic 2-0 Monterey Bay | US Open Cup |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Monterey Bay 0-1 Sacramento Republic | USL Championship |
Last archived meeting: Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay on Aug 10, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Monterey Bay score 0.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sacramento Republic score 1.4 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monterey Bay | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Sacramento Republic | 1.4 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Monterey Bay sit 12th in USL Championship (11 points from 13 matches) and Sacramento Republic sit 6th (16 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 16 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 31 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 11 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 40 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 27, 2025El Paso Locomotive2-2Rhode Island
- Sep 28, 2025Phoenix Rising3-3Oakland Roots
- Sep 28, 2025Orange County SC2-2Charleston Battery
- Sep 28, 2025Loudoun United2-2Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Sep 28, 2025New Mexico United2-1Lexington
- Oct 1, 2025El Paso Locomotive3-1Oakland Roots
- Oct 2, 2025Birmingham Legion1-1North Carolina
- Oct 2, 2025Sacramento Republic2-1Orange County SC