Sacramento Republic vs Orange County SC: result 2-1 and analysis
USL ChampionshipRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 2, 2025 at 02:30 AM (UTC)Heart Health Park, Sacramento, California
Full time
What was the result of Sacramento Republic vs Orange County SC?
Sacramento Republic won 2-1 on October 2, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 7′D. WannerSacramento Republic
- 52′E. ZubakOrange County SC (pen.)
- 87′K. BennettSacramento Republic
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sacramento Republic have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Orange County SC have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | Monterey Bay(away) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Colorado Springs(away) | 2-0 | USL Championship |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Phoenix Rising(home) | 2-2 | USL Championship |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Rhode Island(away) | 0-0 | USL League One Cup |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Tampa Bay Rowdies(away) | 2-0 | USL Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | Charleston Battery(home) | 2-2 | USL Championship |
| Sep 21, 2025 | San Antonio(away) | 1-3 | USL Championship |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Lexington(away) | 1-1 | USL Championship |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Detroit City(away) | 1-4 | USL Championship |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Birmingham Legion(home) | 4-4 | USL Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sacramento Republic win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Orange County SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2025 | Orange County SC 1-0 Sacramento Republic | USL League One Cup |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Orange County SC 2-1 Sacramento Republic | USL Championship |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Orange County SC 0-2 Sacramento Republic | USL Championship |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Sacramento Republic 2-2 Orange County SC | USL Championship |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Sacramento Republic 0-2 Orange County SC | USL Championship |
| May 18, 2023 | Orange County SC 1-0 Sacramento Republic | USL Championship |
Last archived meeting: Orange County SC vs Sacramento Republic on Jun 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sacramento Republic score 1.4 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Orange County SC score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento Republic | 1.4 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Orange County SC | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sacramento Republic sit 6th in USL Championship (16 points from 11 matches) and Orange County SC sit 2nd (20 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Orange County SC | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 20 |
| 2 | Orange County SC | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 30 | 34 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 16 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 31 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 27, 2025El Paso Locomotive2-2Rhode Island
- Sep 28, 2025Phoenix Rising3-3Oakland Roots
- Sep 28, 2025Orange County SC2-2Charleston Battery
- Sep 28, 2025Monterey Bay1-0Sacramento Republic
- Sep 28, 2025Loudoun United2-2Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Sep 28, 2025New Mexico United2-1Lexington
- Oct 1, 2025El Paso Locomotive3-1Oakland Roots
- Oct 2, 2025Birmingham Legion1-1North Carolina