Monterrey vs Toluca: result 2-1 and analysis
Friendlies ClubsClub FriendliesKick-off on October 3, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estadio BBVA, Guadalupe
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What was the result of Monterrey vs Toluca?
Monterrey won 2-1 on October 3, 2026.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monterrey have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Toluca have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Atlante FC(away) | 2-4 | Liga MX |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cruz Azul(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tigres UANL(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Toluca(away) | 0-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Club America(away) | 2-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cruz Azul(away) | 3-3 | Liga MX |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Santos Laguna(home) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Puebla(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atlas(home) | 5-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Monterrey(home) | 2-0 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Monterrey win, 0 draws, 5 Toluca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2026 | Toluca 2-0 Monterrey | Leagues Cup |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Monterrey 0-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Toluca 3-2 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Monterrey 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Toluca 6-2 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| May 11, 2025 | Toluca 2-1 Monterrey | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Monterrey score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 2.2 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monterrey | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Toluca | 2.2 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Monterrey vs Toluca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy