Toluca vs Monterrey: result 2-0 and analysis
Leagues CupFinalKick-off on September 7, 2026 at 01:15 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs Monterrey?
Toluca won 2-0 on September 7, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 4′A. VegaToluca
- 70′HelinhoToluca
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Toluca win at 48%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Toluca vs Monterrey
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Toluca
4-3-3- 9A. Vega
- 16F. Viñas
- 11Helinho
- 10J. Angulo
- 5F. Romero
- 8N. Castro
- 20J. Gallardo
- 25E. López
- 6F. Pereira
- 17B. García
- 1H. González
Monterrey
4-2-3-1- 99H. Cuypers
- 17J. Corona
- 9D. Rossi
- 7L. Ocampos
- 25O. Pineda
- 8Óliver Torres
- 3G. Arteaga
- 13C. Salcedo
- 4V. Guzmán
- 2R. Chávez
- 1E. Andrada
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Monterrey have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | Leon(home) | 2-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 31, 2026 | FC Juarez(home) | 4-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Austin(home) | 2-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Club Queretaro(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atlante FC(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | Club America(away) | 2-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Chicago Fire(home) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leon(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Juarez(home) | 6-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Toluca wins, 0 draws, 2 Monterrey wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Monterrey 0-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Toluca 3-2 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Monterrey 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Toluca 6-2 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| May 11, 2025 | Toluca 2-1 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| May 8, 2025 | Monterrey 3-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Monterrey score 1.9 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Monterrey | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Toluca vs Monterrey?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy