Monterrey vs Toluca: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 5Kick-off on February 6, 2023 at 01:10 AM (UTC)Estadio BBVA, Guadalupe
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What was the result of Monterrey vs Toluca?
Monterrey won 2-1 on February 6, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 17′A. GonzálezMonterrey
- 31′A. GonzálezMonterrey
- 62′M. AraújoToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monterrey have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Toluca have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | Puebla(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Cruz Azul(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Jan 11, 2023 | River Plate(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2023 | Atlas(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Leon(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Club America(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Dec 27, 2022 | Necaxa(home) | 1-0 | Copa por México |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Monterrey win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2022 | Toluca 1-1 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Apr 7, 2022 | Toluca 2-2 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Sep 23, 2021 | Monterrey 2-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Apr 11, 2021 | Toluca 1-2 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Jul 29, 2020 | Monterrey 3-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Toluca 2-0 Monterrey | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Monterrey score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 1.4 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monterrey | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Toluca | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Monterrey sit 5th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Monterrey | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy