Monthey vs Stade Payerne: prediction and stats
1. Liga Classic - Group 1Group 1 - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Philippe Pottier, Monthey
The Footlab AI model makes Monthey the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Stade Payerne. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Monthey vs Stade Payerne?
Monthey starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,571 vs 1,470).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Monthey vs Stade Payerne
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Monthey
4-3-3- KK. Derivaz
- 27R. Derivaz
- BB. Käser
- AAgonis Ukëhaxhaj
- 28V. Efendic
- EE. Berrut
- 19K. Bakashala
- AA. Tissières
- BB. Kutlu
- BB. Roux
- 1S. Saffioti
Stade Payerne
Not enough data to predict the Stade Payerne lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monthey have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Stade Payerne have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sion II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lancy(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Prishtina Bern(away) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Azzurri(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Meyrin(away) | 0-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vevey Sports(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Portalban / Gletterens(home) | 0-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sion II(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lancy(home) | 3-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Prishtina Bern(away) | 1-4 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Monthey wins, 0 draws, 2 Stade Payerne wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Stade Payerne 2-1 Monthey | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Monthey 2-0 Stade Payerne | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Stade Payerne 1-0 Monthey | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Monthey 3-2 Stade Payerne | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Stade Payerne vs Monthey on Apr 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Monthey score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Payerne score 1.7 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monthey | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
| Stade Payerne | 1.7 | 2.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Monthey sit 9th in 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 (11 points from 9 matches) and Stade Payerne sit 15th (7 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Monthey | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 11 |
| 15 | Stade Payerne | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 7 |
A question about Monthey vs Stade Payerne?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Monthey vs Stade Payerne?
- The Footlab AI model makes Monthey the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Stade Payerne.
- Where and when is Monthey vs Stade Payerne played?
- Monthey vs Stade Payerne is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Philippe Pottier, in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.