Montlouis vs Epinal: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group AGroup A - 2Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Eugène Cholet 1 - Terrain Emmanuel Petit, Montlouis-sur-Loire
The Footlab model makes Montlouis the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Epinal. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montlouis vs Epinal?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Montlouis (1,737) and Epinal (1,699).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montlouis have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Epinal have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chantilly(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 16, 2026 | Saint-Malo(home) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Saumur(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Châteaubriant(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bordeaux(away) | 1-4 | National 2 - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dieppe(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nancy(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Chantilly(home) | 3-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 9, 2026 | St-Pryvé St-Hilaire(away) | 2-4 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 1, 2026 | Biesheim(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
How many goals should we expect?
Montlouis score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Epinal score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montlouis | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Epinal | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montlouis sit 11th in National 2 - Group A (1 points from 1 matches) and Epinal sit 5th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Epinal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Montlouis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montlouis vs Epinal?
- The Footlab model makes Montlouis the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Epinal.
- Where and when is Montlouis vs Epinal played?
- Montlouis vs Epinal is played on August 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Eugène Cholet 1 - Terrain Emmanuel Petit, in the National 2 - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.