Montpellier vs Grenoble: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 8Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98, Montpellier
The Footlab AI model makes Montpellier the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Grenoble. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montpellier vs Grenoble?
On Elo ratings, Montpellier has 1,920 points and Grenoble 1,827.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montpellier vs Grenoble
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montpellier
4-2-3-1- 11M. Camara
- 18N. Pays
- 19N. Mukiele
- 27D. Meddah
- 5F. Tardieu
- 44T. Chennahi
- 15J. Laporte
- 17T. Sainte-Luce
- 3Naoufel El Hannach
- 6Y. Mouanga
- 31S. Ngapandouetnbu
Grenoble
4-1-4-1- 12U. Bonnet
- 6Y. Magnin
- 10B. Mouazan
- 92J. Akpa Akpro
- 8L. Bernadou
- 30S. Diba
- 5C. Vidal
- 27M. Xantippe
- 19N. Zahui
- 43A. Pelon
- 1A. Olliero
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 07:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montpellier have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Grenoble have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Reims(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | PAU(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Saint Etienne(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Boulogne(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Dunkerque(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Clermont Foot(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Rodez(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Annecy(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Laval(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Montpellier win, 1 draw, 0 Grenoble wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Montpellier 2-1 Grenoble | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Grenoble 1-1 Montpellier | Ligue 2 |
Last archived meeting: Montpellier vs Grenoble on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Montpellier score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Grenoble score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Grenoble | 1.2 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montpellier sit 4th in Ligue 2 (12 points from 7 matches) and Grenoble sit 13th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Montpellier | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
A question about Montpellier vs Grenoble?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montpellier vs Grenoble?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montpellier the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Grenoble.
- Where and when is Montpellier vs Grenoble played?
- Montpellier vs Grenoble is played on October 9, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.