Nancy vs Guingamp: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 8Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Marcel-Picot, Tomblaine
The Footlab model makes Nancy the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Guingamp. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nancy vs Guingamp?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Nancy (1,811) and Guingamp (1,783).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nancy have 4 wins, 9 draws and 2 defeats; Guingamp have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | PAU(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Montpellier(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Boulogne(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dijon(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Epinal(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sochaux(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Boulogne(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Metz(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lorient(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nancy win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Guingamp win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | Nancy 0-3 Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Guingamp 2-2 Nancy | Ligue 2 |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Guingamp 3-1 Nancy | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Nancy 2-1 Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 17, 2021 | Nancy 2-2 Guingamp | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 16, 2021 | Guingamp 0-0 Nancy | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Nancy score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Guingamp score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Guingamp | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nancy sit 8th in Ligue 2 (4 points from 3 matches) and Guingamp sit 11th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nancy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nancy vs Guingamp?
- The Footlab model makes Nancy the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Guingamp.
- Where and when is Nancy vs Guingamp played?
- Nancy vs Guingamp is played on October 9, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Marcel-Picot, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.