Nancy vs Guingamp: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 8Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Marcel-Picot, Tomblaine
The Footlab AI model makes Nancy the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Guingamp. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nancy wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nancy vs Guingamp?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Nancy (1,838) and Guingamp (1,810).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nancy vs Guingamp
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nancy
4-4-2- 9I. Housni
- 5P. Meïssa Ba
- 8W. Bouabdelli
- 6K. Kebe
- 70N. Kandil
- 7Z. Fdaouch
- 4N. Fernandez-Veliz
- 44E. Tacafred
- 77Y. Nahounou
- 21E. Mendy
- 1E. Basilio
Guingamp
4-4-2- 21T. Ahile
- 18S. Kielt
- 4D. Louiserre
- 11T. Averlant
- 25T. Ducrocq
- 20S. Ben Brahim
- 7D. Gomis
- 2E. Koffi
- 5T. Ollila
- 36A. Demouchy
- 16Adrián Ortolá
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 11:58 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nancy have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Guingamp have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Rodez(away) | 4-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Reims(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Nantes(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Dunkerque(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | RED Star FC 93(home) | 1-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Annecy(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Reims(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Nantes(home) | 3-3 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nancy win, 3 draws, 2 Guingamp wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | Nancy 0-3 Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Guingamp 2-2 Nancy | Ligue 2 |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Guingamp 3-1 Nancy | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Nancy 2-1 Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 17, 2021 | Nancy 2-2 Guingamp | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 16, 2021 | Guingamp 0-0 Nancy | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Nancy score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Guingamp score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Guingamp | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nancy sit 6th in Ligue 2 (10 points from 7 matches) and Guingamp sit 11th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nancy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
A question about Nancy vs Guingamp?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nancy vs Guingamp?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nancy the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Guingamp.
- Where and when is Nancy vs Guingamp played?
- Nancy vs Guingamp is played on October 9, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Marcel-Picot, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.