Moreirense vs Arouca: result 1-0 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 18, 2015 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos
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What was the result of Moreirense vs Arouca?
Moreirense won 1-0 on January 18, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 33′Vitor GomesMoreirense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Moreirense have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Arouca have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2015 | Estoril(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 4, 2015 | Vitoria Setubal(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 21, 2014 | Boavista(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 14, 2014 | Sporting CP(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 7, 2014 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2015 | Vitoria Setubal(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 4, 2015 | Boavista(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 21, 2014 | Maritimo(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 13, 2014 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 7, 2014 | Penafiel(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Moreirense score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Arouca score 0.6 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense | 0.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Arouca | 0.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Moreirense sit 16th in Primeira Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and Arouca sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arouca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 16 | Moreirense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy